Photo by Alex Hudson via Unsplash

Dietary shifts are key to equitably feeding a growing population, protecting biodiversity and limiting warming to 1.5°C. This requires advancing global nutrition, improving food security in low-income and under-consuming populations, and moderating consumption of emissions- and land-intensive foods, like beef, in high-consuming regions.

Balancing food security with climate and biodiversity goals

Achieving global food and nutrition security in the coming decades, while also meeting climate and biodiversity goals, requires significant changes to both food production and consumption. Sustainably increasing agricultural productivity and reducing food waste are critical steps to reducing emissions and minimizing agricultural expansion into high-carbon and biodiverse ecosystems. However, such shifts alone are insufficient to help limit warming to 1.5 degrees C (2.7 degrees F) and conserve biodiversity, given the projected demand for animal-based foods from rising incomes and population growth.

Dietary shifts away from ruminant meat and other animal-based foods and toward plant-based foods will be necessary to keep emissions in line with pathways that limit global warming to 1.5 degrees C. Moderating consumption of emissions- and land-intensive foods like beef should be concentrated among high-consuming populations in regions like North and South America, Europe and Oceania. By contrast, improving nutrition and food security in low-income and under-consuming populations will likely involve increasing animal product consumption, especially among young children.

Across all regions, consumption of fruits, vegetables, legumes, whole grains, nuts and seeds generally needs to increase, alongside balancing under- and over-consumption to ensure adequate but not excessive nutrient intake. These dietary shifts can improve health as well as reduce risks of micronutrient deficiencies and diet-related diseases. Additionally, to fully address hunger and food insecurity, changes to food production and consumption must be paired with broader efforts to address poverty, gender disparities, political instabilities, and limited access to health and social services.
 

What governments and companies can do to promote healthy and sustainable diets

Governments and companies are beginning to recognize their role in enabling more sustainable food consumption patterns. For example, a growing number of countries are incorporating sustainability considerations into their dietary guidelines, recognizing the impact of diet on climate change. At the same time, broader efforts are needed to comprehensively advance healthy and sustainable diets through national policies, such as including dietary shifts in climate mitigation commitments; increasing the share of agricultural subsidies for pulses, fruits and vegetables; and offering public education campaigns to increase consumer knowledge and skills to prepare healthy, plant-based meals.

Meanwhile, food companies are setting targets to reduce food-related emissions and increase alternative proteins in their portfolios. More corporate actions are needed to shift purchasing patterns, including reducing spending on marketing unhealthy and unsustainable foods.

Global efforts to advance shifts to healthy and sustainable diets must accelerate to match the pace and scale needed to meet climate and biodiversity goals while eliminating food insecurity, malnutrition and hunger.

Tracking progress on global outcomes

3018: Ruminant meat consumption in high-consuming regions, as measured by ruminant meat availability in regions consuming over 60 kcal/cap/day in 2017

Status: Wrong Direction
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) updated the methodology and population counts for its Food Balance Sheets beginning in 2010. The data presented in the figure above is a combination of data from current (2010-present) and the historical Food Balance Sheets (1990-2009). For the three years of overlap (2010-2013) between both datasets, the newer methodology resulted in a weighted average across high-consuming regions that was about 3 kcal/capita/day greater than the historical methodology.

This indicator focuses on tracking ruminant meat consumption in high-consuming regions (primarily the Americas, Europe and Oceania), using per capita domestic food availability as a proxy for actual consumption. The indicator was calculated by taking an average (weighted by population size) of the availability of ruminant meat (bovine meat, sheep and goat meat) in the food supply for all subregions where ruminant meat availability was greater than 60 kcal/capita/day in 2017. FAOSTAT subregions with average ruminant meat availability levels below the 60 kcal threshold in 2017 were excluded from the weighted average and the map display.

Target Methodology:

This target is derived from the "Breakthrough Technologies" scenario in the World Resources Report on Creating a Sustainable Food Future, which achieves three goals by 2050: 1) feed 10 billion people; 2) reduce agriculture’s land footprint below its 2010 global extent to eliminate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from land-use change and free up enough farmland for restoration; and 3) limit GHG emissions from agricultural production to no more than 4 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per year (GtCO2e/yr), which is in line with a 1.5 degrees C pathway. This consumption target in the “Breakthrough Technologies” scenario assumes that substantial progress is simultaneously made to reduce on-farm emissions and food loss and waste; if such progress were not achieved, reductions in consumption would need to be even more ambitious.

Reducing ruminant meat consumption within high-consuming regions is a significant win for climate change mitigation efforts due to the resource intensity of ruminant meat production, but less so if consumption is displaced to other animal-based protein foods (e.g., dairy products, pork and poultry), rather than plant-based protein foods. We also considered adopting the target from the EAT-Lancet Commission (roughly 300 kcal/capita/day for all animal source foods), but the suitability of targets for limiting all animal source foods has been debated due to concerns about inadequate consideration of socioeconomic and cultural factors, feasibility and nutritional adequacy for certain populations. For these reasons, we focus on reducing ruminant meat consumption.

Breaking out the EAT-Lancet recommendations by food group specifically, the 2025 update of the EAT-Lancet report revised the recommendations for the flexitarian version of the planetary health diet by combining the originally separate categories for 1) beef and lamb and 2) pork. In the 2019 report, each category had a recommended range of 0-14 grams per day (g/day) or an average of 15 kcal/day, while the 2025 report recommended 0-30 grams per day (g/day) or an average of 45 kcal/day for beef, pork or lamb combined. Some research has suggested modifying the EAT-Lancet planetary health diet guidelines to include an additional 45 kcal/day from beef to ensure adequate micronutrient content without additional fortification or supplementation; this modified diet would result in a total of 60 kcal/day from ruminant meats. This is the same amount as the 2050 target in the “Breakthrough Technologies” scenario.

For subregions that are not projected to even have 60 kcal/capita/day of ruminant meat availability by 2050, their target is just the FAO's business-as-usual projection for 2050.

Notably, even within some subregions with high ruminant meat consumption, nutrition, cost and availability of foods are important considerations. This target also does not apply to people within high-consuming regions who already consume less than 60 kcal/day of ruminant meat, have micronutrient deficiencies, and/or do not have access to affordable and healthy alternatives to ruminant meat.

Ruminant livestock such as cattle, sheep and goats are particularly resource-intensive commodities, requiring seven times as much land to produce as poultry and pork and 20 times more than beans per gram of protein. Pasture expansion for beef production, in particular, accounts for 40% of commodity-driven deforestation globally. At the same time, ruminant livestock production on rangelands that are not encroaching upon forests provides livelihoods to millions of pastoralists, produces high-quality protein and micronutrients, and uses arid lands that could not otherwise produce crops.

In addition to sustainably increasing ruminant meat productivity, moderating ruminant meat consumption in high-consuming regions will be essential for reducing agricultural land demand and reducing methane emissions while feeding more people. Reducing consumption of red meat, especially in processed forms, can also help reduce the risk for several diet-related diseases, including heart disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes and colorectal cancer.

Dietary shifts to reduce ruminant meat and increase plant-based food consumption are only relevant currently for high-consuming regions (primarily in the Americas, Europe and Oceania) where protein consumption is well above dietary requirements and alternative sources of protein are widely available and affordable.

Our adaptation of FAOSTAT food availability data as a proxy for consumption indicates that, after declining from a peak of over 120 kilocalories (kcal) per day in the 1970s, per capita ruminant meat consumption across high-consuming regions fluctuated in the following decades. Ruminant meat consumption began a downward trend from 109 kcal per day in 2014, though rates have largely stagnated in recent years, reaching 105 kcal per day in 2023. Due to the slight increase in the average annual rate of change that occurred from 2019 to 2023, progress is now moving in the wrong direction from the 2030 target of being at or below 79 kcal per day. It would then need to continue to decline to reach the 2050 target of 60 kcal per day.

This weighted average tracks consumption in high-consuming regions only; in some regions with relatively low consumption up to now, rising consumption (especially among higher income and urban residents of those regions) will need to be moderated to stay under 60 kcal per day.

3019: Population experiencing moderate or severe food insecurity

Status: Well Off Track
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

The FAO’s monitoring of moderate and severe food security levels using the Food Insecurity Experience Scale began in 2014. Prior to that, specific countries and regions assessed individual and household food insecurity by measuring people’s difficulties in obtaining food, but there was not a tool to compare experience-based food security measures across the world.

Due to FAO data limitations, the data was extracted by using the FAO’s “Age” filter in two different ways. Disaggregated data filters Age by “15 years old and over,” all other values filter Age by “All age ranges or no breakdown by age.”

Target Methodology:

Targets established by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are aspirational in nature, reflecting what signatory countries have agreed upon to advance their vision of a just and equitable future for all. This target is derived from SDG target 2.1 for 2030 to “ensure access by all people, in particular the poor and people in vulnerable situations, including infants, to safe, nutritious and sufficient food all year round.” The indicator presented here aligns with SDG Indicator 2.1.2.

Efforts to make agricultural production and food consumption more sustainable must coincide with broader interventions to alleviate hunger and food insecurity. Doing so will help advance UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) target 2.1 to end hunger and ensure all people have access to safe, nutritious and sufficient food by 2030. Measures of food security reflect people’s experiences accessing food of sufficient quality and quantity.

Unfortunately, the prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity is well off track from the pace needed to eliminate food insecurity by 2030. As of 2025, 2.1 billion people (26% of the global population) were moderately or severely food insecure. Food insecurity increased significantly between 2019 and 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and started to decline in 2024. The COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine and rising inflation have contributed to supply chain disruptions, job and income losses and rising food prices globally, which limited the availability and affordability of healthy foods and, in turn, exacerbated food insecurity. Globally, food insecurity rates are the highest in rural areas and among adult women.

In addition to adequate access, healthy diets — and in turn, optimal nutrition outcomes — are also supported by access to clean water, adequate sanitation, education, health care and social services, many of which are explored further in the cities system.

3020: Population that is undernourished

Status: Well Off Track
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

For some countries and years the value is reported as “<2.5” by FAOSTAT. Those countries and years are presented on the platform as 2.5.

Target Methodology:

Targets established by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are aspirational in nature, reflecting what signatory countries have agreed upon to advance their vision of a just and equitable future for all. This target is derived from SDG Target 2.1: “By 2030, end hunger and ensure access by all people, in particular the poor and people in vulnerable situations, including infants, to safe, nutritious and sufficient food all year round....”.  The prevalence of undernourishment is the FAO’s traditional indicator used to monitor hunger at global and regional levels (indicator 2.1.1).

Global efforts to make agricultural production and food consumption more sustainable must be paired with broader interventions to alleviate hunger and food insecurity, working toward UN Sustainable Development Goal target 2.1 to end hunger and ensure all people have access to safe, nutritious and sufficient food all year round by 2030. While measures of food security reflect people’s experiences in accessing food, undernourishment or hunger reflect a chronically insufficient intake of calories to lead a healthy and active life.

Global rates of undernourishment fell consistently for over a decade from a high of 13% in 2002 to a low of 7.2% in 2017. However, paralleling the rise in food insecurity, rates of undernourishment then increased in 2020, largely due to the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and conflicts, climate extremes and economic downturns. The share of the global population that is undernourished slowly declined from 8.6% in 2021 to 7.8% in 2025 and remains well off track from the pace needed to end hunger by 2030.

Prevalence of undernourishment remains highest in Melanesia (27%), sub-Saharan Africa (22%), the Caribbean (17%) and Western Asia (13%), contributing to malnutrition concerns that disproportionately affect children and pregnant and lactating women.

3021: Children under five years old affected by wasting

Status: Well Off Track
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

Child malnutrition data is available from both national household surveys and modeled estimates. The data reported here from the UNICEF/WHO/World Bank joint child malnutrition estimates is based on survey estimates for wasting.

Target Methodology:

Childhood nutrition targets established by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are aspirational in nature, reflecting what signatory countries have agreed upon to advance their vision of a just and equitable future for all. This target aligns with SDG Target 2.2 to “End all forms of malnutrition, including achieving, by 2025, the internationally agreed targets on stunting and wasting in children under 5 years of age, and address the nutritional needs of adolescent girls, pregnant and lactating women and older persons.” SDG target 2.2 references a midterm target of achieving the 2025 Global Nutrition Targets, which aim to reduce and maintain childhood wasting to less than 5%, with baseline prevalence and target progress assessed at a country level. 

Malnutrition includes both undernutrition (child stunting, wasting and micronutrient deficiencies) and overnutrition (overweight and obesity). Malnutrition in the first 1,000 days of life is especially harmful. Wasting in young children, in which the child is considered too thin for their height, typically results from an acute deficiency of food intake and has a high risk of death. Unlike stunting, however, it can be reversed by increasing food consumption.

The share of children under five experiencing wasting declined from 8.8% of the global population in 2000 to 6.6% in 2024, though progress stalled from 2020 to 2024. While moving in the right direction, the pace of change needs to accelerate greater than 10 times to eliminate wasting by 2030.

While country-specific data is only available for select years across 164 countries, rates of wasting are highest in Southern Asia.

Efforts to reduce wasting may also help reduce other forms of malnutrition in early childhood. In addition to increasing food security, food access and dietary diversity, reducing wasting also requires access to clean water, adequate sanitation, health care and social services, many of which are further explored in the cities system.

3022: Children under five years old affected by stunting

Status: Wrong Direction
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

Child malnutrition data is available from both national household surveys and modeled estimates. The data reported here, from the UNICEF/WHO/World Bank joint child malnutrition estimates, is based on country-level modeled estimates for stunting.

Target Methodology:

Childhood nutrition targets established by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are aspirational in nature, reflecting what signatory countries have agreed upon to advance their vision of a just and equitable future for all. This target aligns with SDG indicator 2.2.1 to “End all forms of malnutrition, including achieving, by 2025, the internationally agreed targets on stunting and wasting in children under 5 years of age, and address the nutritional needs of adolescent girls, pregnant and lactating women and older persons.” SDG 2.2 references a midterm target of achieving the 2025 Global Nutrition Targets, which aim to reduce the number of children under 5 who are stunted by 40% between 2012 and 2025 and by 50% between 2012 and 2050, with baseline prevalence and target progress assessed at a country level.

Malnutrition includes both undernutrition (child stunting, wasting and micronutrient deficiencies) and overnutrition (being overweight or obese). Malnutrition in the first 1,000 days of life is especially harmful. Stunting, or being too short for one’s age, occurs with long-term inadequate nutrition. Stunting is associated with “severe irreversible physical and cognitive damage,” including increased morbidity and mortality from infections and reduced cognition and educational performance.

Efforts to create healthier and more sustainable food systems must also improve childhood nutrition. For example, while animal-source foods generally have higher environmental impacts than plant-based foods, they also provide valuable sources of high-quality protein and micronutrients. Animal-source foods are especially important for promoting the growth and health of young children in low- and middle-income countries, where their consumption may reduce stunting and other forms of undernutrition. Moderating consumption of animal foods like ruminant meat in over-consuming regions may provide the climate “space” to increase consumption and reduce malnutrition in under-consuming populations.

While the share of children experiencing stunted growth slowly but consistently declined from 2000 to 2020, this indicator began to move in the wrong direction in recent years. Increasing from a low of 22% in 2020 to 23% in 2024, the share of children experiencing stunted growth is moving further away from the goal to  eliminate stunting and other forms of child malnutrition altogether by 2030.

Governments can work to reduce stunting and other forms of malnutrition in early childhood through measures to support breastfeeding, increasing access and affordability of healthy foods, and providing social protection measures such as nutrition assistance and school meal programs.

3023: Children under five years old who are overweight

Status: Wrong Direction
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

Child malnutrition data is available from both national household surveys and modeled estimates. The data reported here from the UNICEF/WHO/World Bank joint child malnutrition estimates is based on country-level modeled estimates for children who are overweight.

Target Methodology:

Childhood nutrition targets established by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are aspirational in nature, reflecting what signatory countries have agreed upon to advance their vision of a just and equitable future for all. This target aligns with SDG target 2.2 to “End all forms of malnutrition, including achieving, by 2025, the internationally agreed targets on stunting and wasting in children under 5 years of age, and address the nutritional needs of adolescent girls, pregnant and lactating women and older persons.” SDG 2.2 references a midterm target of achieving the 2025 Global Nutrition Targets, which aim to ensure that there is no increase in the prevalence of children who are overweight between 2012 and 2025, with baseline prevalence and target progress assessed at a country level.

Progress Assessment Methodology:

While global progress was assessed primarily following methods outlined in this technical note, some deviations were made. Because progress over the last five years has been stagnant, a longer trendline (across ten years) was used to assess progress.

Dietary patterns and physical activity often track from childhood to adulthood. For example, dietary preferences, eating practices and other lifestyle behaviors formed in early childhood are important factors contributing to long-term health. Rates of overweight and obesity in preschool children may increase the risk for obesity and other chronic diseases as they grow older; thus, early childhood interventions to promote healthy eating patterns and other behaviors are emerging as potentially important opportunities for overweight and obesity prevention.

The share of children under five years old who were overweight remained largely the same from 2014 to 2022, hovering around 5.2% of the global population before increasing to 5.5% by 2024. The average annual increase of 0.2% over the past five years indicates this indicator is moving in the wrong direction. The share of children under five years old who were overweight in high-income (8.4%) and upper middle-income countries (8.6%) in 2024 was more than double the share in lower middle-income (4.0%) and low-income countries (3.5%).

While rates of child stunting and wasting in low- and middle-income countries may improve, resource constraints, globalization and shifting food environments and social norms that promote energy-dense, processed foods over traditional diets have also contributed to increased rates of overnutrition (across all ages) in these same countries. This has led to a double burden of malnutrition in low- and middle-income countries, wherein undernutrition can co-exist with overnutrition in the same individual (e.g., someone may have obesity and anemia), household (e.g., a parent may be overweight while their child is stunted) and population (e.g., there may be high prevalence of both undernutrition and overnutrition).

The prevalence of children who are overweight in early childhood will need to decline rapidly as one step toward achieving Sustainable Development Goal target 2.2 to end all forms of childhood malnutrition by 2030. Given existing levels of overnutrition, along with the increasing double burden of malnutrition, achieving this reduction will require efforts across all country income levels.

3024: Children ages 5-19 years old who meet the critera for obesity

Status: Insufficient Data
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

Country level age-standardized data for obesity among children and adolescents, disaggregated by gender, is available from NCD-RisC collaboration (methods published here). Age-standardized data globally is currently not available.

Target Methodology:

This indicator aligns with the NCD target to halt the rise of diabetes and obesity by 2025, which was endorsed by WHO Member States in 2013 (2030 and 2050 targets are forthcoming). The age-standardized prevalence of obesity in adolescents is one of the key indicators to track progress toward this target.

Overnutrition in childhood and adolescence, including overweight and obesity, can lead to lifelong health challenges. Obesity in adolescence specifically is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes and certain cancers in adulthood. Among children and adolescents, being overweight may also negatively impact mental health and quality of life, increasing the risk for low self-esteem and bullying, though these risks may differ across cultures.

Age-standardized, global data on the share of school-age children and adolescents who meet the criteria for obesity are unavailable, providing insufficient data to make a global progress assessment. However, in most countries with available data, trends among boys and girls have been rising steadily over the past two decades. In Brazil, for instance, obesity prevalence in girls and boys more than doubled between 2004 and 2024, rising steadily from 5.8% to 17% and 7.8% to 18%, respectively. Obesity prevalence in school aged children was notably high — above 25% — in 2024 in the Bahamas, Chile, Qatar and multiple countries in Oceania. For the vast majority of countries, obesity rates are moving in the wrong direction, impeding progress toward the goal set in 2013 to halt the rise in obesity by 2025.

In a few countries, obesity prevalence among school-age boys and girls declined slightly between 2020 and 2024, including in Greece, Italy and Portugal. In a few others, it declined for only girls (Ireland, Kuwait) or boys (France, Kyrgyzstan). More research is needed to explore insights from these countries’ successful reductions.

Many factors contribute to an increased likelihood of obesity, including food environments that encourage unhealthy consumption patterns, sedentary lifestyles and other behavioral patterns, socioeconomic factors, genetic predisposition and more. Several indicators explored on this platform may help to promote a healthier food environment as one step toward reducing obesity prevalence, including increasing food security and the affordability of healthy diets, reducing marketing of unhealthy foods to children and increasing consumers' ability to prepare healthy foods.

3025: Adults who meet the criteria for obesity

Status: Wrong Direction
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

The data reported here for adults reflects obesity prevalence among people over 18 years old. It was listed on the WHO website, but shares similar methods to research from the NCD-RisC collaboration (methods published here).

Target Methodology:

This indicator aligns with the NCD target to halt the rise of diabetes and obesity by 2025, which was endorsed by WHO Member States in 2013 (2030 and 2050 targets are forthcoming). The age-standardized prevalence of obesity in adults is one of the key indicators to track progress toward this target.

Obesity in adults increases the risk for cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, certain types of cancer, depression and premature death. Emerging research has also explored defining clinical obesity as a disease itself, given that it can directly cause organ dysfunction and restrict mobility and the ability to conduct daily activities.

The global share of adults with obesity has risen rapidly over the past two decades, rising 11% between 2018 and 2022 alone. As of 2022, nearly 16% of the global adult population met the criteria for obesity. High-income (26%) and upper middle-income countries (16%) had the highest prevalence of adult obesity, though rates have increased over the past five years across all country income groups.

Many factors contribute to an increased likelihood of obesity, including food environments that encourage unhealthy consumption patterns, sedentary lifestyles and other behavioral patterns, socioeconomic factors, genetic predisposition and more. Several indicators explored on this platform may help to promote a healthier food environment as one step toward reducing obesity prevalence, including increasing food security and the affordability of healthy diets, reducing marketing of unhealthy foods and increasing consumers' ability to prepare healthy foods.

3026: Women and other menstruating people ages 15-49 with anemia

Status: Wrong Direction
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

Country-specific global data for this indicator was first reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the year 2000 and most recently updated through the year 2023. The prevalence of anemia is estimated using a Bayesian model combining population-based surveys. Data is disseminated every two to three years.

Target Methodology:

Targets established by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are aspirational in nature, reflecting what signatory countries have agreed upon to advance their vision of a just and equitable future for all. This target aligns with SDG target 2.2 to “End all forms of malnutrition, including achieving, by 2025, the internationally agreed targets on stunting and wasting in children under 5 years of age, and address the nutritional needs of adolescent girls, pregnant and lactating women and older persons.” It is one of three indicators being tracked to achieve SDG target 2.2 (indicator 2.2.3).

Anemia is a widespread nutritional concern globally, especially for children and menstruating, pregnant and lactating people of reproductive age. It is most commonly caused by insufficient iron intake or absorption and blood loss.

Red meat, organ meats and some types of fish are good sources of heme iron, the most easily absorbed form of iron. Plant foods high in iron, including pulses, leafy greens and enriched grains, contain non-heme iron which is less well absorbed. Although well-balanced and carefully managed plant-based diets can provide adequate iron, diets based primarily on starchy staples — common in low-income populations with limited access to a diversity of foods — can lead to micronutrient deficiencies, including iron-deficiency anemia.

This indicator is useful to track alongside efforts to moderate consumption of ruminant meats in high-consuming regions. Together, these efforts can reduce the risk for diet-related diseases among high-consuming populations while providing the climate and biodiversity “space” to increase consumption in under-consuming populations and help address nutritional deficiencies such as anemia.

Despite promising reductions in the share of women and other menstruating people with anemia from 2000 to 2013, this rate began moving in the wrong direction in 2014. The global prevalence of anemia among women and other menstruating people continued to slowly increase from 29% in 2019 to 31% in 2023, moving further away from the target of 0% by 2030. Prevalence in 2023 was highest in Southern Asia (49%), Western Africa (42%) and Middle Africa (42%).

3027: Population consuming all five food groups typically recommended for daily consumption in food-based dietary guidelines

Status: Insufficient Data
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

Historically, dietary intake data has not been collected in the general population across countries because previous methods were too expensive and complex, and there was no consistent methodology to track diet quality at a global scale. The Diet Quality Questionnaire — a 5-minute validated module designed for inclusion in international and national survey platforms developed by the Global Diet Quality Project — is the first nationally-representative tool to do so. As opposed to indicators that use domestic food availability data as a proxy for consumption, this dataset relies on self-reported consumption data based on surveys collected within the Gallup World Poll. More details on the tool development and data collection methods are available in the provided links.

Thus far, only one round of data has been collected, covering 94 countries from 2021-2024. The results from 85 countries were available as of April 2025 and the results from 9 countries are forthcoming. Results from additional countries will be added as they become available.

Target Methodology:

No quantitative target has been established for this indicator, so this target is directional: the higher the share of the population who consumed all five recommended food groups, the better. This is based on research identifying the importance of consuming a diversity of food groups, especially of plant foods, for nutrient adequacy and protection against non-communicable diseases.

In addition to ensuring the accessibility and adequacy of diets to reduce hunger and malnutrition in under-consuming populations, the healthfulness and quality of diets are important to reduce risk factors for diet-related diseases for all people. Dietary patterns higher in vegetables, fruits, pulses, nuts and seeds, and whole grains, and lower in red and processed meats, are better for individual health and lower in environmental impacts.

This indicator measures the share of the population who consumed all five food groups — at least one vegetable, fruit, pulse, nut or seed, and starchy staple — typically recommended for daily consumption in food-based dietary guidelines in the past day or night. Consuming these food groups indicates basic dietary adequacy, and it is used here as a proxy for adherence to food-based dietary guidelines.

While data is currently available for only one or two years in select countries, this data indicates that consumption of all five recommended food groups differs substantially across countries. For example, in 2022, over 48% of the populations in Uzbekistan and Albania consumed all five recommended food groups, compared to less than 15% of the populations in Afghanistan and Niger.

Importantly, intake of all five recommended healthy food groups alone is insufficient to protect against diet-related disease if people also consume high levels of foods that dietary guidelines recommend limiting, such as soft drinks, fried foods, red and processed meats, and other sweet and salty foods.

 

3028: Population unable to afford a healthy diet

Status: Well Off Track
Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

FAO first calculated this indicator at a global level in 2020, starting with 2017 as the first year of data. The calculation methods and historical data estimates are regularly revised to reflect updates to underlying food price data and purchasing power parity conversion factors.

The results of this indicator can also be compared to other analyses exploring the cost of both healthy and sustainable diets, such as those that have measured the affordability of the EAT-Lancet diet.

Target Methodology:

Targets established by the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are aspirational in nature, reflecting what signatory countries have agreed upon to advance their vision of a just and equitable future for all. As affordability is a key component of food security, this target is related to the SDG target 2.1 to eliminate food insecurity by 2030 by “ensur[ing] access by all people, in particular the poor and people in vulnerable situations, including infants, to safe, nutritious and sufficient food all year round.”

Affordability is a key factor contributing to the adoption of healthy diets and, consequently, the prevention of malnutrition and diet-related disease outcomes. While the cost of a healthy diet is an important indicator of purchasing power, income levels are also critical to evaluating the affordability of healthy diets.

Globally, the share of the population unable to afford a healthy diet has gradually improved, from when it was first measured by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) in 2017 (41%) to the most recent measurement in 2025 (33%). Many households faced both rising food inflation and reduced income during the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to a nearly 2% increase (about 150 million additional people) in the global average share of people unable to afford a healthy diet between 2019 and 2020. Despite the increase at the beginning of the pandemic, the prevalence of unaffordability has gradually declined since 2020, though still well off track from the pace needed to eliminate this key component of food insecurity (food unaffordability) by 2030.

These trends have also varied across regions. The prevalence of unaffordability is highest in sub-Saharan Africa (74% of the population), the Caribbean (49%) and Southeastern Asia (47%).

Key enablers and barriers to change

2960: Countries that have integrated sustainability in food-based dietary guidelines

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

This indicator tracks the share of countries with FBDGs that discuss sustainability or encourage sustainable, healthy food choices by providing nutrition information inclusive of plant-based dietary patterns. Data was compiled from two cross-country comparisons of FBDGs to analyze the share of:  

  • Consumer-facing FBDGs that include environmental impacts: Countries with FBDGs that incorporated considerations related to environmental impacts or biodiversity preservation into their consumer-facing FBDG documents used to inform the development of their FBDGs;
  • Background docs for FBDGs that include environmental impacts: Countries with FBDGs that incorporated considerations related to environmental impacts or biodiversity preservation into background/technical documents used to inform the development of their FBDGs; and
  • FBDGs that include plant-based dietary patterns: Countries which received a score of at least 48/100 points on the Balanced Food Choice Index (the top 30% of scores analyzed in 2021). The Balanced Food Choice Index assesses the extent to which FBDGs encourage sustainable, healthy food choices by providing nutrition information inclusive of plant-based dietary patterns. It includes indicators measuring whether FBDGs offer inclusive food groups, information on plant-food sources of critical nutrients (e.g., protein, iron, zinc, omega-3 fatty acids), information on obtaining vitamin B-12, plant-based alternatives to meat and dairy, and recommendations on vegetarian diets. For example, FBDGs that have a purely animal-based meat food group imply that meat is essential to a healthy diet, whereas FBDGs that offer a “protein group” inclusive of legumes, nuts and seeds can support the moderation of animal product consumption in high-consuming regions and may support increased awareness and incorporation of more diverse and nutritionally balanced plant foods in regions where diets are currently based primarily on starchy staples.  

While this index included points for providing information in FBDGs on plant-based alternatives to meat and dairy, which are most commonly available in industrialized countries, countries could receive at least 48 points (the cutoff for being included in the data presented here) without needing to incorporate these alternatives or specific nutritional information for vegetarian diets specifically into their FBDGs. Countries could achieve this minimum score solely by including information on how to obtain adequate nutrients from legumes and other plant foods that are important parts of traditional diets throughout the world.
 
Only 108 out of 199 countries (198 countries recognized by the UNFCCC plus Hong Kong) had FBDGs identified by either of the two studies above. Of the 108 identified FBDGs, 8 were not assessed by either study due to language barriers or the inability of authors to find the document.  Hence, 100 countries are used as the denominator to calculate the percent of countries with sustainability integration in their dietary guidelines. Hence, 100 countries were used as the denominator to calculate the percentage of countries with sustainability integration in their dietary guidelines.

While this indicator is an important gauge of national food and nutrition policy directions, it is unlikely to change as frequently as other indicators on the Systems Change Lab platform because FBDGs are not updated frequently. For example, the United States typically updates its dietary guidelines every five years. Some other countries update their FBDGs every 10-15 years. As this data relies on two one-time analyses of FBDGs, Systems Change Lab researchers will continually monitor for future analyses of FBDGs in order to track changes over time.

Government policies are one of the key influences shaping the food environment around us, including which foods are available, affordable, convenient and desirable. Evidence measuring the efficacy of policies in encouraging shifts to healthy and sustainable diets is limited but emerging, pointing to a range of policies with which countries can experiment, evaluate and adjust as needed. Examples include enabling healthy and plant-rich choices through public procurement policies, integrating sustainability into national dietary guidelines, implementing standardized emissions labeling for foods, restricting advertising of unhealthy or unsustainable foods, taxing unhealthy or emissions-intensive foods and providing subsidies for sustainable alternatives. Carefully designed labeling policies may also compel food companies to reformulate their products to be healthier or more sustainable.

In the absence of data on all national policies that may support healthy and sustainable diets, this indicator focuses on the extent to which sustainability is integrated into national dietary guidelines. Food-based dietary guidelines (FBDGs) are important guiding documents that not only educate consumers but also inform the creation and implementation of other food and nutrition policies, such as school meal standards.

As of March 2021, 38 out of 100 countries’ dietary guidelines incorporated sustainability, either by incorporating considerations related to environmental impacts or biodiversity preservation into consumer-facing documents (10 countries) or background documents (20 countries), or by providing nutrition information inclusive of plant-based dietary patterns (29 countries). 

2961: Countries with measures to advance healthy and sustainable dietary shifts in their NDCs

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

Commitments to advancing healthy and sustainable diets in NDCs have not been consistently tracked by a single source over time. The data presented in this figure is compiled from multiple sources to display progress over time. Systems Change Lab researchers reviewed NDCs that were flagged as addressing sustainable diets by the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) in 2019, WWF and Climate Focus in 2022, and Climate Watch (2025) to display progress over time. Only NDCs that included measures specific to healthy and sustainable dietary shifts among consumers rather than production or supply-side changes are analyzed here. Additionally, this analysis focused on the inclusion of measures to advance dietary changes with explicit connections to climate mitigation or adaptation. This analysis reflects the status of NDCs at the end of each calendar year.

Nationally determined contributions (NDCs) form the foundation of international climate action. They help guide domestic policymaking across government, signal the direction of travel to public and private sector investors and enable more effective implementation. Including dietary shifts in NDCs can play an important role in increasing mitigation ambition and shaping countries’ other policies to advance healthy and sustainable diets, though the specific dietary shifts needed vary across geographies, nutrition status and income levels.

From a climate mitigation perspective, it is particularly important that countries with high per capita consumption of animal-source foods (especially ruminant meat) incorporate measures into their NDCs to advance shifts to more sustainable, plant-rich diets. Since per capita animal product consumption often correlates with per capita income, this indicator is most relevant for high-income countries where alternative sources of protein are widely available and affordable, though some middle- and low-income countries also have relatively high and/or growing consumption of animal source foods.

As of March 2025, no countries’ NDCs include such measures. That said, outside of the context of NDCs, six European countries had mentioned climate-friendly dietary shifts in their more detailed national climate change strategies as of 2021.

From an adaptation perspective, NDCs from Costa Rica, Eswatini, Liberia and Malawi (2.1% of countries that had submitted NDCs) — all low- or middle-income countries — included measures pertaining to shifting diets, an increase from zero countries as of 2019. Their commitments focused on supporting healthy eating, diet diversification, and traditional foods to improve nutrition, food security and climate resilience (e.g., through increased consumption of more heat- and drought-tolerant crops).

2962: Meat and milk subsidies, as measured by the share of government support for the production of specific agricultural commodities that is dedicated to meat and milk among OECD countries

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

This data reflects the sum of Producer Single Commodity Transfers for raw milk, beef and veal, pig meat, poultry meat and sheep meat for the OECD reference area. Data is presented as the share of total government support for single commodities. All but four of the 38 member countries of the OECD were classified as "high income" according to World Bank Analytical Classifications in fiscal year 2024.

Globally, agricultural subsidies — including budgetary support for producers and market price support such as tariffs — represented 15% of the value of total agricultural production between 2013 and 2018. A substantial share of this support, particularly in high-income countries, is directed toward the production of meat and dairy to reduce the relative costs of animal products and enable high levels of consumption.

At the same time, there are not currently enough fruits, vegetables and proteins (especially plant-based) produced to meet global nutrition recommendations. Reports by the World Bank and the FAO, UNDP and UNEP have called for a realignment of agricultural subsidies in high-income countries to better reflect health and sustainability objectives by reducing the share of subsidies for red meat and dairy and increasing the share for pulses, fruits and vegetables.

Among countries that were members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in 2023, 43% of government support for producers directed to single commodities was allocated to meat and milk production, the highest share since 2014. This calculation includes market price support such as tariffs, as well as a subset of budgetary support to producers to produce specific commodities; it excludes decoupled payments.

When focusing on government budgetary support (subsidies in the narrow sense), one academic study found that, in 2017, OECD countries spent over twice as much proportionately (in terms of share of agricultural support) to support livestock production as compared to non-OECD countries. This study’s calculations included support for specific commodities as well as decoupled payments. Some other estimates that include subsidies associated with animal feed suggest an even higher allocation. In the European Union, for example, 82% of the Common Agricultural Policy budget subsidies in 2013 was estimated to support animal products.

2963: Countries with at least one coalition dedicated to shifting diets

Individual food choices are largely shaped by the food environment around us, including which foods are available, affordable, convenient and desirable. Government policies and food companies can help shape the food environment to enable healthier and more sustainable food choices, as can lobbying efforts to influence government and company actions to do the opposite. Research on how different actors influence policy actions and inaction on sustainable diets is limited but emerging. For example, while a consistent method to define or monitor the impact of lobbying across countries has not yet been developed, a study of lobbying expenditure data in the United States found that the food industry (primarily representing ultra-processed foods and beverages) spent nearly $1.2 billion from 1998 to 2020 on lobbying activities, primarily targeting domestic laws.

Coalitions that advocate for governmental and institutional policy changes to support dietary shifts may help serve as a counterweight to powerful lobbies that profit from unsustainable consumption patterns and to conceptions of dietary behavior change as being politically taboo. Examples of such coalitions include the international Beans is How, Meatless Monday or Slow Beans campaigns, the Federal Good Food Purchasing Coalition in the United States and the Food for the Planet Campaign in the United Kingdom.

Currently, there are no global datasets available to track the size, scope or impact of different coalitions advocating for policies to enable healthy and sustainable diets. We have included this indicator to highlight the need to mobilize political will, given the sensitivities of policies around food consumption.

2964: Academic studies published each year testing behavior change interventions focused on healthy and sustainable food choices

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

This indicator uses results from the systematic review conducted for The Food Service Playbook for Promoting Sustainable Food Choices as a proxy to begin tracking the growth of research on interventions to advance healthy and sustainable diets. For the Playbook, WRI researchers reviewed peer-reviewed academic research identified through a search of the EBSCO Discovery Service and Nature databases. Grey and in-press literature sourced via peer networks that met eligibility criteria was also included. All literature was published after 2000 and focused on dietary behavior change interventions aiming to shift consumers to eat more plant-rich meals or to reduce meat and dairy consumption overall. The original review occurred between 2018 and 2019 and was updated through a search conducted in 2023 (of studies published before March 2023). Additional details on eligibility criteria are specified in the original publication.

Research on the efficacy of policies and behavior change interventions to encourage healthier and more sustainable diets is emerging. At the moment, much of the literature focuses on intentions or willingness to change (as opposed to actual behavior changes), self-reported changes (as opposed to observed changes) and short-term (as opposed to long-term) interventions. Thus, we do not yet have a clear understanding of the most effective interventions to motivate and sustain the long-term behavior changes needed to enable the adoption of healthy and sustainable diets. Many of these studies focus on industrialized countries, which overlap with several of the regions where per capita ruminant meat consumption must decline the most. That said, meat consumption is high and increasing in some emerging economies too.

The number of academic studies published each year on interventions to encourage consumers to eat more plant-rich meals and/or reduce meat and dairy consumption grew throughout the 2010s, with a notable increase beginning in 2018. The number of studies published between 2018 and 2022 is nearly three times greater than the number published between 2000 and 2017. As this analysis is limited to English-language research mostly from the United States and Europe, more research from other geographies is needed to accurately capture global intervention opportunities for advancing healthy and sustainable diets.

Additionally, while tracking the number of studies on this topic provides insights into the growth of research on healthy and sustainable food choices, it does not reflect the results of that research, such as the extent to which consensus is emerging from that research on the most effective interventions to motivate long-term behavior change.

2965: Meals served annually by food service providers that have made a “Coolfood Pledge”

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

To reflect how the food environment is changing to make climate-friendly options more available, this analysis counts the number of meals served by Coolfood Pledge members beginning in the year each member signed the Pledge. This analysis thus differs from some analyses of Coolfood Pledge data that count baseline or historical meal data for members.

To estimate the reach of food service providers who have committed to the Coolfood Pledge, the total meals served away from home in the U.S. and Europe were estimated. First, the populations of the U.S. and Europe in 2025 were multiplied by 2.7 meals per person per day to reflect total meals consumed per day. While there is no recent data tracking the share of meals eaten away from home in the U.S., as a proxy, data on the share of food expenditures spent on food away from home in 2025 was used to extrapolate trends based on the share of food expenditures vs. meals eaten away from home in 1995. In Europe, an estimated 18% of meals consumed were outside the home in 2017 (the most recent data available). The total numbers of meals served in the U.S. and Europe were multiplied by their respective estimates of the share of meals eaten away from home to calculate a total for meals consumed away from home.

A growing percentage of foods are consumed outside of the home, especially in industrialized countries. Private restaurants and public canteens influence the food-choice landscapes that enable current unsustainable consumption patterns. Food service providers can counteract norms by making climate-friendly food choices more available, enticing and affordable.

Coolfood is one of the leading initiatives through which food providers can set targets, measure progress and implement actions to reduce the climate impact of the food they offer. Food service providers that join the Coolfood Pledge commit to reducing food-related greenhouse gas emissions by 25% between 2015 and 2030. If all Coolfood Pledge signatories as of 2025 achieved this target, it would reduce emissions by 5.4 million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (tCO2e) per year. The Pledge is focused on food service providers in North America and Europe, so it covers many but not all regions with high ruminant meat consumption.

Approximately 3.1 billion meals were served by food service providers that had signed the Coolfood Pledge in 2025. This number has increased with the growth of new food service providers that have joined the Coolfood Pledge since it was announced in 2018, including a growing share of public food service providers. Considering only the meals served in the United States and Europe, this represents 1.2% of total meals prepared outside the home in those regions. Cities, universities and companies have made the greatest progress thus far toward reducing emissions per plate of food they serve, largely achieved by serving less beef and lamb and more plant-based foods.

2966: Amount of money spent by the food industry in marketing unhealthy and unsustainable foods

Food marketing influences perceptions around which foods are desirable, contributing to a food environment that encourages unhealthy and unsustainable consumption patterns. Foods are frequently advertised in television, internet and print media and in outdoor spaces. Other food marketing techniques include product placement, branding, product and packaging design, point-of-sale displays, sponsorship or direct marketing promotions.

Food advertising is particularly harmful to children, who are less able to understand advertising’s intent. One meta-analysis of 80 studies found food and non-alcoholic beverage marketing to significantly increase the intake of, choice of and preference toward the marketed foods among children and adolescents.

Food advertising often promotes unhealthy foods such as fast food, desserts, sugar sweetened beverages and other processed foods high in saturated fat, sugar and salt. For example, a study of television advertising across 22 countries found that foods and beverages that should not be permitted to be advertised to children based on nutrient profile criteria were advertised four times more often than permitted ones.

Advertisements promoting meat consumption also influence consumer desires. One study documented over 50 years of multi-million-dollar marketing campaigns promoting red and processed meat consumption in the United States, often supported by the federal government. In recent years, some of these campaigns and other corporate sustainability communications often presented misleading information about the environmental impacts of red and processed meat and/or undermined efforts to promote plant-rich dietary patterns.

Limited research has tracked expenditures on unhealthy and unsustainable food marketing. Studies from Canada (in 2019) and the United States (in 2009) reported that approximately $630 million CAD and $1.8 billion USD (not adjusted for inflation), respectively, were spent on food and beverage advertising in a single year, with more than 80% of these expenditures allocated to products that did not qualify as healthy. The U.S. data was focused specifically on marketing targeted to youth. More data is needed to track food marketing expenditures across multiple countries and across time.

2967: Public investment in alternative proteins

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

While most of the funding sources listed in the Good Food Institute’s public investment database specified exact amounts in USD (presumably nominal), some sources only had estimates representing the minimum or maximum amounts of dedicated funding. For the purposes of the data presented here, Systems Change Lab researchers included the minimum or maximum point estimates in the total values per year. Lastly, some funding sources were distributed over multiple years. To create the figures presented here, Systems Change Lab researchers split the relevant funding amount equally across the multiple years in which the funding was received. Data was only included for complete years up through 2024 and will be updated annually.

In addition to increased consumption of whole plant foods (e.g., legumes, vegetables and fruits), alternative proteins that replicate the experience of consuming animal-based foods may help reduce consumption of ruminant meat in high-consuming regions. But while many gains have been made in developing alternative proteins, they have yet to achieve widespread adoption for many reasons, including affordability, taste and unfamiliarity. 

Additional research and development (R&D) is needed to improve the performance and acceptance of alternative proteins. At the same time, commercialization funding is needed to build manufacturing capacity, facilities and other infrastructure and workforce development. Estimates from the Good Food Institute indicate a steady growth in public investment in alternative proteins, particularly since 2018, growing from a cumulative global total of $55 million in 2017 to nearly $2.1 billion by 2024. Forty-four percent of this funding was dedicated to R&D, 35% to commercialization and 21% represented a mix of both types of funding. The European Union, United States, Canada, Denmark, Israel and South Korea have each invested more than $100 million into alternative proteins.

Although investment in alternative proteins has been increasing, it is far lower than the estimated $10 billion per year needed to deliver their full benefits. Thorough evidence-based and timely regulatory policies are also essential to ensure safety and optimize the health and environmental benefits of alternative proteins.

While this indicator is focused specifically on tracking funding for R&D and commercialization of alternative proteins, greater public investment can also be made to support the cultivation and consumption of whole plant-based proteins such as legumes (including beans, lentils and peas) as part of healthy and sustainable diets.

2968: Meat alternatives in retail meat markets

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

The data reported here comes from various publications from the Good Food Institute (GFI). U.S. data comes from custom-coded sales data reported from SPINS Natural Grocery Channel and SPINS Conventional Multi Outlet Channel, commissioned by GFI and the Plant Based Food Association. SPINS does not report sales from animal-based meat that is not prepackaged (i.e., meat from the meat counter that does not have a Universal Product Code). To estimate the market share of the total meat category, SPINS adds assumptions for non-UPC animal-based meat sales. Notably, the 2022 State of the Industry Report mentions that some changes were applied to the SPINS methodology across years, so some of the changes reported in the U.S. market share between 2019, 2020 and 2022 may not reflect actual changes in market share.

European data comes from market research from Circana, commissioned by GFI. Circana does not report sales from animal-based meat that is not prepackaged and does not calculate an estimate for the market share of the total meat category. Data on the market share of plant-based meats in eight additional European countries from a 2023 GFI publication was excluded due to a change in the methodology and data providers used.

This indicator tracks sales only in retail markets. It would be valuable to also include data to reflect the market share of meats purchased for food service. Additionally, data for this indicator is currently only available for plant-based meat, but ideally as the market expands, data will become available for fermentation-enabled and cultivated meat alternatives as well.

Around the world, many people and communities maintain a strong attachment to and preference for meat. Alongside increased consumption of legumes, vegetables and fruits, meat alternatives (one form of alternative proteins) that replicate the experience of consuming meat may help reduce ruminant meat consumption in high-consuming regions. Monitoring the market share of meat alternatives can serve as a proxy for tracking their acceptance and consumption.

In the United States (U.S.), the share of plant-based meat in the total meat market (by sales value) has fluctuated slightly, from just under 1% in 2019 to 1.3% in 2022 to 0.8% in 2024. Data for other countries is currently limited to the market share within the retail prepackaged meat category only (that is, excluding sales at the meat counter), which may obscure overall trends in meat consumption. For example, the 2024 U.S. market share of plant-based meat in the retail prepackaged meat market (1.7%) was estimated to be twice its total meat market share. With these caveats in mind, the 2023 prepackaged market share of plant-based meat was relatively high in the Netherlands (5.8%) and Germany (3.2%).

Ideally, as the market expands, data will become available to track the share of meat alternatives in the total meat market across more countries over time. Additionally, due to changes in the relative cost of plant-based meat compared to conventional meat products over time, data tracking the change in market share by sales volume will be best for future cross-country comparisons.

2969: Food and agriculture companies publicly reporting the implementation of activities to diversify their protein portfolio

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

This indicator is derived from data compiled by WBA’s Food and Agriculture Benchmark. It only applies to companies within the top 350 food and agriculture companies that include animal proteins as part of their operations or supply chains. In 2023, 241 companies received a score for this indicator, up from 223 in 2021.

In 2023, WBA assessed each indicator based on a set of elements against which it scores companies. The protein diversification indicator had four elements. Systems Change Lab researchers reviewed information available in the 2023 dataset available for download. For the data presented above, we compiled whether a company had received credit for at least one of the following three elements: a) discloses qualitative evidence of protein diversification activities or commitments, b) discloses quantitative evidence of increasing alternative proteins within its portfolio or c) discloses the proportion of alternative proteins and animal proteins in its portfolio.

In WBA’s 2021 Food and Agriculture Benchmark, the indicators were reported as a single score without a disaggregation showing the specific elements that comprised the score. The 2021 iteration involved a cumulative scoring approach. Thus, it was assumed above that companies which received a score greater than 0 had provided evidence of protein diversification activities or commitments, since that was the first element of the 2021 scoring approach for this indicator.

This indicator tracks the extent to which companies are transitioning to a diversified protein portfolio. For instance, companies that include animal proteins among the products they sell can demonstrate their commitment to more climate-friendly and sustainable food systems by disclosing and diversifying their food sales by protein type. Retailers and food service providers can improve the availability, affordability and placement of plant-rich meals. Food processors and manufacturers can increase the share of lower-carbon foods they sell, such as by adding alternative proteins to their portfolio.

As of 2023, 53% of the top 350 food and agriculture companies that included animal proteins in their portfolio had implemented activities to diversify their protein portfolio. This represents a slight increase from 2021, when 50% of relevant companies had reported protein diversification activities.

Communicating and publicly reporting on progress enables greater transparency and accountability. Beyond qualitative reporting, 16% of the relevant top 350 companies analyzed in 2023 had disclosed quantitative evidence of increasing alternative proteins and 4% had disclosed the proportion of alternative proteins and animal proteins in their portfolio.

While actions are critical, more research is needed to assess whether companies’ efforts to diversify their protein portfolios are sufficiently ambitious to support dietary shifts in line with climate and nature targets and to reduce their scope 3 greenhouse gas emissions.

2970: Relative cost of meat alternatives to conventional meat products

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

In the absence of regularly updated, standardized and nationally-comparable data on price premiums for alternative proteins, we present the best available data published thus far on this emerging industry. The data reported here comes from multiple sources included in publications from the Good Food Institute (GFI). U.S. data from 2019 comes from Nielsen Perishables Group data, while 2020, 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025 data comes from custom-coded sales data reported by SPINS Natural Grocery Channel and SPINS Conventional Multi Outlet Channel, commissioned by GFI and the Plant Based Food Association. European data come from a GFI analysis of data on prepackaged meat sales from Circana. 2022 data on the price premiums for new plant-based meat (excluding seafood) from five countries in the Asia-Pacific market comes from a GFI analysis of data from Mintel Global New Product Database. Due to inconsistencies in the collection of data, the extent to which differences reflect actual changes in price premiums over time is unclear.

More data is needed to track changes in the price of meat alternatives across more countries and over time.

Beyond taste, price remains one of the top barriers to people consuming meat alternatives. Market research suggests that consumers may be more likely to buy alternative proteins if prices were closer to animal proteins. For instance, one survey by Mintel found that 73% of U.S. consumers were willing to pay the same price or less for plant-based alternatives.

Early applications of this strategy have led to promising results. For example, after European supermarkets Lidl and BILLA reduced plant-based product prices to match their animal counterparts, their plant-based product sales increased by 30% and 33%, respectively. As the industry scales, improved efficiencies, better utilization of high fixed costs, and recouped research and development costs may move the products closer to price parity.

Data on the relative cost of meat alternatives to conventional meat products is limited to only plant-based meat from six countries; more regularly updated, standardized and nationally-comparable data is needed. Based on sales data in the United States in 2025, on average, plant-based meats cost 76% more than the meats they were intended to replace. This price premium was higher than estimates from the same source in 2020 and 2022, indicating that efforts to close the price gap on meat alternatives have not yet materialized. In Europe, the price premium for plant-based meats fell between 2021 and 2023 from 65% to 41% in Germany and from 63% to 38% in the Netherlands, while the premium remained more than double in Spain. In the Asia-Pacific market, the price premium for plant-based meats launched between 2022 and the third quarter of 2023 varied from 86% higher in the Philippines to 22% higher in Thailand and Singapore. In Indonesia, newly launched plant-based meats cost 19% less than conventional meats during that period, but longitudinal data is needed to assess whether prices remain consistently cheaper.

Ideally, as the market expands, data will also become available to include fermentation-enabled meat alternatives and cultivated meat.

2971: Consumers across regions with high ruminant meat consumption who report willingness to reduce meat consumption

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

This indicator is derived from survey data from Ipsos Global Advisor on public opinions on climate change across several years (2020, 2021, 2022). The number of countries reported in the survey results varied by year (29 countries in 2020, 30 countries in 2021 and 31 countries in 2022). Based on data presented in the 2022 report, a similar survey question may have been included in a 2014 survey by Ipsos Global Advisor, but country-disaggregated data was not found. 
 
Of all countries surveyed, between 20 (2020, 2021) or 22 (2022) countries were located in FAO subregions with high ruminant meat consumption, as identified by a subregional average of bovine meat, sheep and goat meat consumption above the 2050 target of 60 kilocalories per person per day. These 20-22 countries accounted for 76%-77% of the population across all FAO subregions with high ruminant meat consumption. For the “world” data point, we present an average (weighted by population size, as reported by the World Bank) of results from only countries in high-consuming subregions. 

Some of the key barriers to reducing meat consumption pertain to social norms and perceptions, including social constructions of meat as being the center-of-the-plate protein and a lack of support among family and friends to eat less meat. Raising awareness of collective reductions in meat consumption over time may increase interest in eating less meat.

This indicator serves as a proxy for changing social norms by measuring willingness and intentions to change meat consumption habits. A survey of adults conducted across multiple countries asked respondents about the likelihood that they would eat less meat, or replace the meat in some meals with alternatives such as beans, as one of several actions to limit their contribution to climate change. Based on Systems Change Lab calculations using data from Ipsos Global Advisor, the share of respondents in regions with high ruminant meat consumption who reported a willingness to reduce their meat consumption increased slightly from 38% in 2020 to 42% in 2022.

2972: Consumers across regions with high ruminant meat consumption who report having consumed or a willingness to try alternative proteins

Historical Data Methodology and Challenges:

Global data not available.

A growing amount of research explores consumer acceptance of trying and continuing to consume alternative proteins. Familiarity is one of the key factors of relevance — previous experience with consuming alternative proteins is associated with higher acceptance. Increasing the share of consumers who have such familiarity with alternative proteins may also affect the acceptability and social norms around consuming alternative proteins in social settings.

Individual studies have measured the share of consumers who report having consumed or being willing to try alternative proteins in specific countries at a particular point in time. For example, a survey of consumers in 10 European countries in 2021 found 65% of consumers across all countries surveyed were moderately, very or extremely likely to try eating plant-based meat instead of animal-based meat, with the highest shares in Spain (77%), Austria (75%) and Romania (74%). There is no single global dataset, however, that measures consumer perceptions of alternative proteins using a similar methodology across numerous countries over time.

We have included this indicator to highlight the need to monitor consumer acceptance of the rapidly evolving alternative protein industry, particularly in regions with high ruminant meat consumption.

2973: Households reached by public education campaigns around healthy and sustainable diets

In addition to government and company efforts to enable healthy and sustainable diets, educational interventions may be valuable. The impacts of campaigns to promote healthy diets (e.g., increase fruit and vegetable consumption) and efforts to increase awareness of foods’ health attributes (e.g., like through nutrition labeling) are debated, but they likely contribute to changes in dietary habits. Efforts to raise awareness about the harmful effects of overconsuming ruminant meat, minimize nutrition-related confusion and counteract perceptions of meat as the center-of-the-plate protein may also facilitate shifts to more plant-rich diets. While many educational campaigns have focused on motivating behavior change through increased awareness or changing attitudes, it is important that campaigns emphasize building consumers’ ability to eat healthier and more sustainably through increased knowledge and skills to prepare healthy, plant-based foods.

Currently, there are no global datasets available to track the share of households reached by campaigns promoting healthy and sustainable diets. We have included this indicator to highlight that consumer behavior and social norms need to change, while also recognizing that the evidence base for effective educational strategies to do so is limited. Public education campaigns may be beneficial but are insufficient on their own to facilitate dietary shifts.

Other shift Other shifts needed to transform the system

Increase agricultural productivity sustainably, resiliently and without expanding into high-carbon, biodiverse ecosystems

Meeting the food and nutrition needs of a growing population will require increasing agricultural productivity sustainably and resiliently, reducing emissions and biodiversity impacts from farming, and supporting farmer livelihoods.

Reduce food loss and waste

One-third of all food produced is never eaten. Halving food loss and waste by 2030 will be essential for reducing the emissions and biodiversity loss linked to producing, transporting and disposing of uneaten foods.